Lismets Soccer Betting News

<< Atletico Madrid's Diego to miss four weeks
Madrid, Spain (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Atletico Madrid playmaker Diego suffered a torn right thigh muscle Sunday and will be sidelined four weeks. The 26-year-old Diego was injured in the second half of a 1-1 draw against Sporting Gijon,

<< Pervak wins Memphis opener
Memphis, TN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Second seed Ksenia Pervak was an easy opening-round winner Tuesday at the $220,000 Memphis International tennis event. The Russian Pervak handled Canadian Rebecca Marino 6-2, 6-4 on the indoor hardcourts at

<< Bologna extends unbeaten run against Fiorentina
Bologna, Italy (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Alessandro Diamanti and Gaston Ramirez both scored in the first half as Bologna followed its shocking win over Inter Milan with a 2-0 win over Fiorentina on Tuesday in Serie A. Bologna shocked Inter Milan,

<< Up the backstretch: Turf horse took to Golden Gate's artificial track
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - A 3-year-old colt that had never won a race except on the grass came away Saturday with a key victory on a synthetic surface. The change in surfaces for Daddy Nose Best proved to be beneficial for him to win

Chelsea bested by Napoli in Italy >>
Naples, Italy (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Chelsea's Champions League aspirations took a major hit on Tuesday as it suffered a 3-1 loss to Napoli in the first leg at the Stadio San Paolo. The Blues opened the scoring through Juan Mata in the

Nets' Williams to have foot surgery >>
East Rutherford, NJ (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - New Jersey Nets forward Shawne Williams will undergo surgery on February 22 to remove a bone fragment from his left foot. Nets general manager Billy King made the announcement Tuesday. The surger

Ichiro Suzuki to move out of leadoff spot >>
Peoria, AZ (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Ichiro Suzuki has been in the leadoff spot for almost his entire 11 years with the Seattle Mariners, but that will not be the case this season. Mariners manager Eric Wedge announced Tuesday that Chone Figgi

Rockies minor leaguer Torres suspended >>
New York, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Colorado Rockies minor league pitcher Joseph Torres has been suspended 50 games by Major League Baseball for a violation of the Minor League Drug Prevention and Treatment Program. The 29-year-old Torres, w

Betting Football

Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?

I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.

Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.

There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.

Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.

For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.

A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.

The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.

Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.

So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.

Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.

“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.

Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.

“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.

It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.

Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.

The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.

“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.

“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”

Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.

The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.

“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”

Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?

“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”

Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.